According to Bombardier’s new 2017-2036 Market
Forecast, the 100 to 150-seat segment will represent 70% of
aircraft needs during the period with 6,800 aircraft valued
at $580 billion.
This will be followed by the 60 to 100-seat segment with
5,750 deliveries worth $240 billion.
The complete market is seen
as 12,550 aircraft worth US$820 billion, based on 2017 list
“The outlook for our
markets is strong,” said Fred Cromer, President, Bombardier
Commercial Aircraft. “We are the only manufacturer with a solution
for any type of business model in the 60- to 150-seat segment, and
we are well positioned to capture the value from the exciting
opportunities outlined in this Market Forecast. In
addition to showing general market dynamics, our forecast focuses
on how airlines are changing the way that assets are evaluated. Airlines are shifting their primary metric for
network and fleet optimization strategies from ‘cost’ to ‘profit’.
With this thinking in the forefront, more airlines are investing
in right-sized aircraft that maximize their profits.”
The forecast says small regional
aircraft (20-60 seats) segment erosion will have a rippling
upgrading effect; large regional aircraft (60-100 seats) will
continue to dominate short-haul (up to 500 nm/926 km) routes; and
small single-aisle aircraft (100-150 seats) will increase
point-to-point flying on short to medium-haul sectors and will
allow airlines to fly new and thin routes at a profit. The forecast predicts that 86% of the current fleet in this
segment will retire by 2036.
According to the report, North America and Europe will
continue as the largest markets for new aircraft, taking delivery of 5,700 aircraft, or 46% of deliveries.
It also predicts that there will be strong demand for large
regional aircraft from Asia/Pacific owing to growth, and renewal
demand from Europe and North America. Key markets for the small
single-aisle aircraft segment are North America, Europe and
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