Although figures just released in the PATA Quarterly
Tourism Monitor for Q4 2008 covering 37 destinations show a year-on-year
drop of 2.8% in international arrivals, the dip was not sufficient
enough to drag the annual growth figure into negative territory.
Provisional results show a modest 1.9%
growth for calendar year 2008 in these same 37 destinations with
only the Pacific region suffering a drop (4.6%) compared to
2007. Analysis of growth percentage terms for the final quarter
of 2008 shows Malaysia taking nine of the top ten spots (based on
a minimum of 10,000 arrivals per quarter) but it includes some
very small numeric bases from origin markets such as Iran and
This latest PATA Tourism Monitor covers 37
destinations in the Americas, Asia and Pacific regions and the
dramatic downturn in international arrivals for Q4 08 in markets
such as Japan, Thailand and Sri Lanka reflects both the worsening
global economic climate and regional/national issues. In contrast,
some markets showed remarkable levels of growth year-on-year in
the final three months of 2008 but, again, often based on
relatively small numeric bases.
It was good news for Mexico
(up 9.1% in Q4 08 and 5.9% Jan-Dec); Bhutan (up 37.9% in Q4 08 and 31.2% Jan-Dec); Indonesia (up 17.2% in Q4 08 and 15.4% Jan-Dec); New Caledonia (up 38.7% in Q4 08 and 23.2% Jan-Dec) and Papua New Guinea
(up 39.1% in Q4 08 and 15.4% Jan-Dec).
figures are much less encouraging for Sri Lanka (down 15.6%
in Q4 08 and down 11.2% Jan-Dec); Thailand (down 28%
in Q4 08 and down 5% Jan-Dec); Hawaii (down 15.5% in
Q4 08 and down 10.6% Jan-Dec); Tahiti (down 15.1% in
Q4 08 and down 10% Jan-Dec) and Japan (down 12.2% in
Q4 08 but up 2.2% Jan-Dec).
Region by region, only
the Pacific showed a decline in 2008 (4.6%) compared to
2007, although figures recorded for Guam and Samoa for Q4 are
provisional and December data is not yet available for the USA,
Japan and Korea (ROK). Americas shows annual growth of 3.5%; Northeast Asia - 1.6%; South Asia 3.9% and
Southeast Asia 2.3%.
"It's clear that we have some
way to go before we can see real, uninterrupted light at the end
of the tunnel," said PATA's SIC Director John Koldowski. "We know
that travel trends are changing, and changing fast. This will have
a varying degree of impact on destinations across the Asia Pacific
and beyond. The belt tightening will undoubtedly continue and the
battle for market-share is now in full swing."
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